Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760060700 · Richmond city, VA · pop 5,636 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51760060700 covers part of the Oak Grove area of Richmond, VA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,636. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,080
Renter share72.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate44.0%
Median income$33,426
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5050, -77.4366 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Grove scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
44.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$944 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Oak Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,401Total filings over 4 yrs
- 58.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 67.0%Peak (2014)
- 697Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oak Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.8%Housing insecurity
- 28.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.7%Food insecurity
- 53.9%SNAP enrollment
- 25.0%Transit barriers
- 18.3%No health insurance
- 24.5%Frequent mental distress
- 49.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove
SNAP participation runs 53.9% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 44%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Disability prevalence runs 49.6% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $944, 31% below the Richmond average.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $33,426, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
It sits 1.4 points above the Richmond City average of 4.3. The filing record is not thin: 3,401 evictions over 4 years of observation.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760060700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760060700?
Census tract 51760060700 in the Oak Grove neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760060700?
Median gross rent is $944/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760060700?
44.0% of residents in tract 51760060700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,636.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760060700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 97th, minority 92th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 51760060700 considered part of Oak Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760060700 fall within Oak Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760060700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,401 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760060700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 58.42% of renter households, peaking at 67.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760060700 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760060700 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760060700 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760060700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Washington Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fulton Bottom
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pinehurts
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oregon Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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