Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Fernleigh Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond
Tract 51760070100 · Richmond city, VA · pop 5,412 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51760070100 sits in the Fernleigh area of Richmond eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Against Richmond City at 50.2%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,921
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$89,356
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5440, -77.5653 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fernleigh scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,765 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Fernleigh compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 172Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.0%Peak (2014)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fernleigh
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.
Average gross rent is $1,765, 29% above the Richmond average. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Richmond City average of 4.3.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 172 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 12.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760070100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760070100?
Census tract 51760070100 in the Fernleigh neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760070100?
Median gross rent is $1,765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760070100?
14.1% of residents in tract 51760070100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,412.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760070100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 11th, minority 32th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 51760070100 considered part of Fernleigh?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760070100 fall within Fernleigh (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760070100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 172 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760070100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.52% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760070100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760070100 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760070100 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
The Fan
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Washington Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fulton Bottom
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pinehurts
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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