Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Worthington Farms Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond
Tract 51760070700 · Richmond city, VA · pop 6,607 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51760070700 sits in the Worthington Farms area of Richmond eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Richmond City average of 50.2%.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,344
Renter share31.2%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$63,158
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.4915, -77.5088 · click any tract to drill in
Why Worthington Farms scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,390 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Worthington Farms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,858Total filings over 4 yrs
- 46.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 63.8%Peak (2014)
- 378Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.0%Food insecurity
- 20.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Worthington Farms
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 1,858 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 21.6% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 25.0% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 63.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 46.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Richmond City average of 4.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760070700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760070700?
Census tract 51760070700 in the Worthington Farms neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760070700?
Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760070700?
11.2% of residents in tract 51760070700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,607.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760070700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 51760070700 considered part of Worthington Farms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760070700 fall within Worthington Farms (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760070700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,858 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760070700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 46.04% of renter households, peaking at 63.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760070700 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760070700 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760070700 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fulton Bottom
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pinehurts
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oregon Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Barton Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related