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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Worthington Farms Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760070700 · Richmond city, VA · pop 6,607 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Worthington Farms neighborhood of Richmond centers on tract 51760070700, which scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 6,607 residents. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,390 a month while the average household earns $63,158 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 23% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,344
Renter share31.2%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$63,158

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Worthington Farms
Moderate
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Low
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#453 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.4915, -77.5088 · click any tract to drill in

Why Worthington Farms scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,390 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Worthington Farms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Worthington Farms risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 070700Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,858Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 46.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 63.8%Peak (2014)
  • 378Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517600707002013: 359 filings (34.13/100 renter HHs)2014: 671 filings (63.78/100 renter HHs)2015: 450 filings (42.78/100 renter HHs)2016: 378 filings (43.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Worthington Farms

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760070700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760070700?

Census tract 51760070700 in the Worthington Farms neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760070700?

Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760070700?

11.2% of residents in tract 51760070700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,607.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760070700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 51760070700 considered part of Worthington Farms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760070700 fall within Worthington Farms (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760070700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,858 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760070700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 46.04% of renter households, peaking at 63.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760070700 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760070700 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760070700 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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