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Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

Worthington Farms Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,607 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Worthington Farms maps to a single census tract in Richmond, VA, population 6,607. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,858 evictions logged in this tract.

10% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 27% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, under the Richmond rate of 31.1%.

The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 63.8% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 43.5% in 2016 against a 63.8% peak. That places it #35 of 54 neighborhoods in Richmond.

For a like-for-like read, Blackwell and Chesterfield Court score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,390, close to the Richmond average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $63,158. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Worthington Farms vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.7% -14%
Richmond: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,390 +1%
Richmond: $1,372
Average HH income
$63,158 +1%
Richmond: $62,671
Poverty rate
11.2% -41%
Richmond: 18.8%
Renter share
31.2% -45%
Richmond: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Worthington Farms and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Worthington Farms scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
11.2% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Worthington Farms vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Worthington Farms score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8Worthington FarmsNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Worthington Farms

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51760070700 3.8 6,607 27% $1,390
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 96%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Worthington Farms

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,858Total filings (sum)
  • 46.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 63.8%Peak year (2014)
  • 43.45%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Worthington Farms

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Worthington Farms

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Worthington Farms?

Worthington Farms scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Worthington Farms compare to Richmond overall?

Worthington Farms scores 0.5 points lower than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,390 vs $1,372.
Q3

What is the average rent in Worthington Farms?

Average gross rent in Worthington Farms is $1,390/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Worthington Farms residents are renters?

31% of Worthington Farms households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 6,607 residents.
Q5

Is Worthington Farms a high social-vulnerability area?

Worthington Farms sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Worthington Farms for landlords?

Worthington Farms carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Worthington Farms?

Worthington Farms has 7,446 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52.2%), Hispanic / Latino (40.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Worthington Farms

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Worthington Farms.

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