Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Cedar Bluff Eviction Risk: Elevated , Roanoke

Tract 51770001200 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 3,531 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Eviction risk in the Cedar Bluff neighborhood of Roanoke centers on tract 51770001200, which scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,531 residents. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $924 a month while the average household earns $38,344 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 42% Owners 16%

Tract context

Occupied units1,879

Renter share83.7%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate33.6%

Median income$38,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2619, -79.9479 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cedar Bluff scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

33.6% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

$924 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Cedar Bluff compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
50%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cedar Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.9%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
17.7%Food insecurity
17.4%SNAP enrollment
10.4%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
32.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cedar Bluff

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Roanoke City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770001200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770001200?

Census tract 51770001200 in the Cedar Bluff neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770001200?

Median gross rent is $924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770001200?

33.6% of residents in tract 51770001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,531.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 5th, minority 37th, housing 85th.

Is tract 51770001200 considered part of Cedar Bluff?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770001200 fall within Cedar Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770001200 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770001200 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770001200 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Roanoke at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770001200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.