Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Ghent Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke

Tract 51770001000 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 2,343 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 51770001000 sits in the Ghent area of Roanoke eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 34% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units875

Renter share73.1%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate32.1%

Median income$29,006

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2741, -79.9700 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ghent scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

32.1% poverty · this tract

8.0

Supply constraint

$891 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Ghent compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
27%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.5%Housing insecurity
17.7%Utility-shutoff threat
32.9%Food insecurity
33.2%SNAP enrollment
17.1%Transit barriers
14.8%No health insurance
23.0%Frequent mental distress
40.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ghent

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $29,006 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against Roanoke City at 42.8%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 32.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, economic stress reads 8/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Roanoke City average of 4.2. Housing insecurity runs 24.5% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $891, 11% below the Roanoke average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770001000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770001000?

Census tract 51770001000 in the Ghent neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770001000?

Median gross rent is $891/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770001000?

32.1% of residents in tract 51770001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,343.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 52th, minority 79th, housing 95th.

Is tract 51770001000 considered part of Ghent?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770001000 fall within Ghent (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770001000 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770001000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.