Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Ghent Eviction Risk: Elevated , Roanoke

Tract 51770001000 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 2,343 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 51770001000, home to 2,343 residents in the Ghent area of Roanoke, scores 6.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $891 a month against an average household income of $29,006 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 34% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units875

Renter share73.1%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate32.1%

Median income$29,006

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2741, -79.9700 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ghent scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

32.1% poverty · this tract

8.0

Supply constraint

$891 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Ghent compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
27%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ghent. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.5%Housing insecurity
17.7%Utility-shutoff threat
32.9%Food insecurity
33.2%SNAP enrollment
17.1%Transit barriers
14.8%No health insurance
23.0%Frequent mental distress
40.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ghent

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Roanoke City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770001000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770001000?

Census tract 51770001000 in the Ghent neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770001000?

Median gross rent is $891/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770001000?

32.1% of residents in tract 51770001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,343.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 52th, minority 79th, housing 95th.

Is tract 51770001000 considered part of Ghent?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770001000 fall within Ghent (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770001000 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770001000 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Roanoke at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.