Rugby Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke
Tract 51770002501 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 2,336 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 51770002501 in the Rugby area of Roanoke, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Roanoke and the region
Centroid at 37.2808, -79.9610 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rugby scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Rugby compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 57%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.1%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.3%Food insecurity
- 35.5%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 42.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Rugby
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 35.3% against 17.8% nationally.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Roanoke City average of 42.8%.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $857, 14% below the Roanoke average.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Roanoke. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51770002501
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770002501?
What is the average rent in tract 51770002501?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51770002501?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51770002501?
Is tract 51770002501 considered part of Rugby?
What share of households in tract 51770002501 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51770002501 compare to Roanoke overall?
Was tract 51770002501 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke
Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.