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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Smith Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810040801 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,904 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 51810040801 in the Lake Smith Terrace area of Virginia Beach, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 35% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 37% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,512
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$66,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Smith Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#649 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8666, -76.1396 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Smith Terrace scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,506 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Lake Smith Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Smith Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0408013.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 290Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 34.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.1%Peak (2016)
  • 290Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Smith Terrace

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10. Court records carry 290 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

At $1,506 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 34.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 34.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia eviction laws Beach as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $66,214.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810040801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810040801?

Census tract 51810040801 in the Lake Smith Terrace neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810040801?

Median gross rent is $1,506/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810040801?

10.6% of residents in tract 51810040801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,904.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810040801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 3th, minority 64th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 51810040801 considered part of Lake Smith Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810040801 fall within Lake Smith Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810040801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 290 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810040801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.08% of renter households, peaking at 34.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810040801 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810040801 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810040801 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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