Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Cheltenham Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810042802 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,353 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 51810042802 covers part of the Cheltenham Square area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,353 residents. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,826
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$66,389
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8314, -76.0777 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cheltenham Square scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,603 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Cheltenham Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 314Total filings over 1 yrs
- 26.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.0%Peak (2016)
- 314Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cheltenham Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 11.8%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cheltenham Square
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.3 points above the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 314 filings here across 1 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 27.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 27.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia eviction laws Beach as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,603, close to the Virginia Beach average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $66,389.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810042802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810042802?
Census tract 51810042802 in the Cheltenham Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810042802?
Median gross rent is $1,603/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810042802?
15.2% of residents in tract 51810042802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,353.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810042802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 12th, minority 70th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51810042802 considered part of Cheltenham Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810042802 fall within Cheltenham Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810042802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 314 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810042802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.98% of renter households, peaking at 27.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810042802 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810042802 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810042802 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brigadoon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Euclid Terrace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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