Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Aragona Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810041003 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,669 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Aragona Village neighborhood of Virginia Beach, census tract 51810041003 scores 4.6/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,527 a month while the average household earns $79,488 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 23% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,437
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$79,488

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Aragona Village
Very Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Elevated
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#1,175 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8526, -76.1337 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aragona Village scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,527 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Aragona Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aragona Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 041003Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 194Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 32.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.8%Peak (2016)
  • 194Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aragona Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aragona Village

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 194 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 32.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.8% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810041003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810041003?

Census tract 51810041003 in the Aragona Village neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810041003?

Median gross rent is $1,527/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810041003?

8.1% of residents in tract 51810041003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,669.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810041003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 63th, minority 51th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 51810041003 considered part of Aragona Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810041003 fall within Aragona Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810041003?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810041003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.83% of renter households, peaking at 32.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810041003 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810041003 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810041003 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related