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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Aragona Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810041003 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,669 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51810041003 covers part of the Aragona Village area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,669 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 23% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,437
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$79,488

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Aragona Village
Very Low
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#977 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8526, -76.1337 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aragona Village scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,527 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Aragona Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aragona Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0410033.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 194Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 32.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.8%Peak (2016)
  • 194Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aragona Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aragona Village

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 194 filings here across 1 tracked years.

At $1,527 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 32.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 32.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia Beach eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $79,488.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810041003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810041003?

Census tract 51810041003 in the Aragona Village neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810041003?

Median gross rent is $1,527/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810041003?

8.1% of residents in tract 51810041003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,669.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810041003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 63th, minority 51th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 51810041003 considered part of Aragona Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810041003 fall within Aragona Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810041003?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810041003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.83% of renter households, peaking at 32.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810041003 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810041003 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810041003 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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