Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Aragona Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810041004 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,702 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 51810041004 in the Aragona Village area of Virginia Beach, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$76,122
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8487, -76.1463 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aragona Village scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,466 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Aragona Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 1 yrs
- 12.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2016)
- 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Aragona Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aragona Village
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 filings here across 1 tracked years.
At $1,466 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 12.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 12.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810041004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810041004?
Census tract 51810041004 in the Aragona Village neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810041004?
Median gross rent is $1,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810041004?
8.5% of residents in tract 51810041004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,702.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810041004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 61th, minority 59th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51810041004 considered part of Aragona Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810041004 fall within Aragona Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810041004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810041004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.43% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810041004 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810041004 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810041004 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Brigadoon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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