Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Aragona Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810041004 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,702 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51810041004 belongs to the Aragona Village area of Virginia Beach, Virginia. It is home to 3,702 residents and scores 4.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 22% of US census tracts.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,466 a month against an average household income of $76,122 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$76,122
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8487, -76.1463 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aragona Village scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,466 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Aragona Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 1 yrs
- 12.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2016)
- 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Aragona Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aragona Village
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 12.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.4% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810041004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810041004?
Census tract 51810041004 in the Aragona Village neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810041004?
Median gross rent is $1,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810041004?
8.5% of residents in tract 51810041004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,702.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810041004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 61th, minority 59th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51810041004 considered part of Aragona Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810041004 fall within Aragona Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810041004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810041004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.43% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810041004 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810041004 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810041004 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Euclid Terrace
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Thalia Manor
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045808
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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