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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Cheltenham Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810044808 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,434 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51810044808 covers part of the Cheltenham Square area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,434 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,095
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$60,710

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Cheltenham Square
Very Low
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Very High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#421 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8477, -76.0543 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cheltenham Square scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,486 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Cheltenham Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cheltenham Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0448083.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 14.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.3%Peak (2016)
  • 151Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cheltenham Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cheltenham Square

Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Virginia Beach City average of 46.1%.

The filing record is not thin: 151 evictions over 1 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,486, 13% below the Virginia Beach average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 14.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Virginia eviction laws Beach rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $60,710. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810044808

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810044808?

Census tract 51810044808 in the Cheltenham Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810044808?

Median gross rent is $1,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810044808?

15.9% of residents in tract 51810044808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,434.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810044808?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 54th, minority 53th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 51810044808 considered part of Cheltenham Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810044808 fall within Cheltenham Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810044808?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810044808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.31% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810044808 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810044808 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810044808 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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