Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Lynnhaven Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810043005 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 2,150 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51810043005 is a census tract in the Lynnhaven Shores area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,150. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 26% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,543
Renter share63.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$88,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lynnhaven Shores
Very High
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Moderate
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Moderate
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#1,374 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.9096, -76.0860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lynnhaven Shores scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,478 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Lynnhaven Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lynnhaven Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0430053.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lynnhaven Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lynnhaven Shores

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,478, 103% above the Virginia Beach average.

The voucher gap is 105.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $88,750 and the ratio lands at 47%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 59% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Housing insecurity runs 3.1% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9 closely. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810043005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810043005?

Census tract 51810043005 in the Lynnhaven Shores neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810043005?

Median gross rent is $3,478/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810043005?

4.7% of residents in tract 51810043005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,150.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810043005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 29th, minority 5th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 51810043005 considered part of Lynnhaven Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810043005 fall within Lynnhaven Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51810043005 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51810043005 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810043005 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related