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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Lynnhaven Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810043006 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 2,833 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51810043006 is a census tract in the Lynnhaven Shores area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,833. Cost burden runs 29% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,540
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$142,825

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lynnhaven Shores
Very Low
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#76 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.9077, -76.0767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lynnhaven Shores scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,140 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Lynnhaven Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lynnhaven Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0430063.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lynnhaven Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lynnhaven Shores

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 26.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $2,140, 25% above the Virginia Beach average. Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.6/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 0.9 points below the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $142,825, annual rent is just 18%.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810043006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810043006?

Census tract 51810043006 in the Lynnhaven Shores neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810043006?

Median gross rent is $2,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810043006?

4.0% of residents in tract 51810043006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,833.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810043006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 6th, minority 19th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 51810043006 considered part of Lynnhaven Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810043006 fall within Lynnhaven Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51810043006 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51810043006 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810043006 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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