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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Lynnhaven Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810043006 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 2,833 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Lynnhaven Shores area of Virginia Beach is where census tract 51810043006 sits, home to 2,833 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.1/10. It lands near the 13th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,140 monthly, set against $142,825 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,540
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$142,825

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lynnhaven Shores
Very Low
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,772 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.9077, -76.0767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lynnhaven Shores scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,140 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Lynnhaven Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lynnhaven Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 043006Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lynnhaven Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lynnhaven Shores

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810043006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810043006?

Census tract 51810043006 in the Lynnhaven Shores neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810043006?

Median gross rent is $2,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810043006?

4.0% of residents in tract 51810043006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,833.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810043006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 6th, minority 19th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 51810043006 considered part of Lynnhaven Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810043006 fall within Lynnhaven Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51810043006 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51810043006 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810043006 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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