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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Trantwood Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810044401 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,709 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51810044401 sits in the Trantwood Shores area of Virginia Beach eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,709. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,332
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$138,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Trantwood Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#87 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#87 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8666, -76.0543 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trantwood Shores scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,708 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Trantwood Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Trantwood Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0444013.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 9.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trantwood Shores

At $2,708 a month, rents run 58% over what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. The voucher gap is 59.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9. Court records carry 9 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 9.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810044401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810044401?

Census tract 51810044401 in the Trantwood Shores neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810044401?

Median gross rent is $2,708/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810044401?

6.1% of residents in tract 51810044401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,709.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810044401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 70th, minority 14th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 51810044401 considered part of Trantwood Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810044401 fall within Trantwood Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810044401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810044401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.09% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810044401 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810044401 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810044401 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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