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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Cheltenham Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810044808 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,434 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Eviction risk in Cheltenham Square in Virginia Beach centers on tract 51810044808, which scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,434 residents. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,486 monthly, set against $60,710 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,095
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$60,710

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Cheltenham Square
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
High
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#791 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8477, -76.0543 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cheltenham Square scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,486 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Cheltenham Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cheltenham Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 044808Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 14.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.3%Peak (2016)
  • 151Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cheltenham Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cheltenham Square

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810044808

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810044808?

Census tract 51810044808 in the Cheltenham Square neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810044808?

Median gross rent is $1,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810044808?

15.9% of residents in tract 51810044808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,434.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810044808?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 54th, minority 53th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 51810044808 considered part of Cheltenham Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810044808 fall within Cheltenham Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810044808?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810044808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.31% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810044808 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810044808 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810044808 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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