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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Cheltenham Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810042802 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,353 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

In Cheltenham Square in Virginia Beach, census tract 51810042802 scores 4.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,603 a month while the average household earns $66,389 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 28% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,826
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$66,389

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Cheltenham Square
Very Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#20 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#20 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#826 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8314, -76.0777 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cheltenham Square scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,603 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Cheltenham Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cheltenham Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 042802Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 314Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 26.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.0%Peak (2016)
  • 314Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cheltenham Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cheltenham Square

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810042802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810042802?

Census tract 51810042802 in the Cheltenham Square neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810042802?

Median gross rent is $1,603/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810042802?

15.2% of residents in tract 51810042802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,353.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810042802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 12th, minority 70th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 51810042802 considered part of Cheltenham Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810042802 fall within Cheltenham Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810042802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 314 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810042802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.98% of renter households, peaking at 27.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810042802 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810042802 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810042802 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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