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Census Tract · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Waynesboro Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51820003400 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 5,997

The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 51820003400 reflects conditions in Waynesboro in Waynesboro City County, Virginia. On the national scale it ranks #37,690 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,040 monthly, set against $74,717 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 22% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,337
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$74,717

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Waynesboro
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Waynesboro city
Very Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#997 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#58,384 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region

Centroid at 38.0762, -78.9077 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waynesboro scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,040 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9

How Waynesboro compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waynesboro risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 003400Waynesboro: 3.33.3Waynesboroparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 179Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2016)
  • 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 518200034002013: 45 filings (5.55/100 renter HHs)2014: 36 filings (4.44/100 renter HHs)2015: 47 filings (5.80/100 renter HHs)2016: 51 filings (7.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waynesboro

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Waynesboro City County average of 6.0 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 179 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 5.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.2% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51820003400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003400?

Census tract 51820003400 in Waynesboro scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51820003400?

Median gross rent is $1,040/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003400?

3.7% of residents in tract 51820003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,997.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 34th, minority 32th, housing 29th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 179 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.75% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51820003400 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51820003400 compare to Waynesboro overall?

Tract 51820003400 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Waynesboro at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro

Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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