Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Plainfield Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winchester
Tract 51840000302 · Winchester city, VA · pop 6,007 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.3/10 for census tract 51840000302 reflects conditions in the Plainfield Heights neighborhood of Winchester, Virginia. On the national scale it ranks #15,395 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,338 a month against an average household income of $61,606 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,351
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$61,606
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 39.1521, -78.1806 · click any tract to drill in
Why Plainfield Heights scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,338 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
7.2
How Plainfield Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 17.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Plainfield Heights
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winchester City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51840000302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51840000302?
Census tract 51840000302 in the Plainfield Heights neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51840000302?
Median gross rent is $1,338/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51840000302?
17.4% of residents in tract 51840000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,007.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51840000302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 69th, minority 49th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 51840000302 considered part of Plainfield Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51840000302 fall within Plainfield Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51840000302 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51840000302 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 51840000302 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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