Heritage Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Winchester

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10.

At $1,423 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Winchester commands. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Winchester City average of 5.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $71,404.

59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.