Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Larch Way Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alderwood Manor
Tract 53061051802 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 6,932 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 53061051802 covers the Larch Way neighborhood of Alderwood Manor in Washington. Home to 6,932 residents, it scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,168 a month while the average household earns $111,518 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units3,000
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$111,518
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alderwood Manor and the region
Centroid at 47.8398, -122.2737 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larch Way scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,168 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
7.4
How Larch Way compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 134Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 177% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Larch Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larch Way
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alderwood Manor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Snohomish County average of 5.2 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 134 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53061051802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061051802?
Census tract 53061051802 in the Larch Way neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53061051802?
Median gross rent is $2,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53061051802?
9.6% of residents in tract 53061051802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,932.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53061051802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 34th, minority 64th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 53061051802 considered part of Larch Way?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061051802 fall within Larch Way (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061051802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 134 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 53061051802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.32% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53061051802 compare to Alderwood Manor overall?
Tract 53061051802 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Alderwood Manor at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alderwood Manor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alderwood Manor
Top eight tracts in Alderwood Manor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Cedar Valley
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Seattle Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Cedar Valley
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Seattle Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Meadowdale
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WA
Perrinville
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WA
Cedar Valley
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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