Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Larch Way Eviction Risk: Elevated , Alderwood Manor
Tract 53061051802 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 6,932 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
53061051802 is a census tract in the Larch Way area of Lynnwood, WA. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units3,000
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$111,518
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alderwood Manor and the region
Centroid at 47.8398, -122.2737 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larch Way scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,168 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
7.4
How Larch Way compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 134Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 177% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Larch Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larch Way
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. At $2,168 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Lynnwood commands.
It sits 1.3 points above the Snohomish County average of 5.4. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 134 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53061051802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061051802?
Census tract 53061051802 in the Larch Way neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53061051802?
Median gross rent is $2,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53061051802?
9.6% of residents in tract 53061051802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,932.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53061051802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 34th, minority 64th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 53061051802 considered part of Larch Way?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061051802 fall within Larch Way (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061051802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 134 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 53061051802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.32% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53061051802 compare to Alderwood Manor overall?
Tract 53061051802 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Alderwood Manor at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alderwood Manor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alderwood Manor
Top eight tracts in Alderwood Manor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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