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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Larch Way Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alderwood Manor

Tract 53061051927 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 6,042 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 53061051927 in the Larch Way area of Martha Lake, WA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,042. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 8% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$157,008

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Larch Way
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Alderwood Manor
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#116 of 173 tracts In Snohomish County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#1,255 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alderwood Manor and the region

Centroid at 47.8354, -122.2382 · click any tract to drill in

Why Larch Way scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,620 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
5.2

How Larch Way compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Larch Way risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0519275.4Alderwood Manorparent city5.4Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak (2016)
  • 13Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 53061051927
Filings climbed 63% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Larch Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Larch Way

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $2,620, 20% above the Martha Lake average.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 54 filings here across 5 tracked years. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.9/10.

Against the Snohomish County average of 5.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. Filings peaked in 2016 at 9.8% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 53061051927

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061051927?

Census tract 53061051927 in the Larch Way neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53061051927?

Median gross rent is $2,620/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53061051927?

2.2% of residents in tract 53061051927 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,042.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53061051927?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 32th, minority 59th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 53061051927 considered part of Larch Way?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061051927 fall within Larch Way (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061051927?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 53061051927 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.89% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53061051927 compare to Alderwood Manor overall?

Tract 53061051927 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Alderwood Manor at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alderwood Manor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alderwood Manor

Top eight tracts in Alderwood Manor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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