Larch Way Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alderwood Manor

At $2,530 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of Alderwood Manor commands. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Snohomish County average of 47.3%. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.9/10. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Snohomish County average of 5.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $104,312.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.