Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Larch Way Eviction Risk: Lower , Alderwood Manor
Tract 53061051928 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 5,939 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Larch Way neighborhood of Alderwood Manor, census tract 53061051928 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,898 a month while the average household earns $103,776 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,276
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$103,776
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alderwood Manor and the region
Centroid at 47.8434, -122.2481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larch Way scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,898 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alderwood Manor
5.2
How Larch Way compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2015)
- 24Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Larch Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larch Way
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alderwood Manor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Snohomish County average of 5.2 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53061051928
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061051928?
Census tract 53061051928 in the Larch Way neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53061051928?
Median gross rent is $1,898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53061051928?
14.2% of residents in tract 53061051928 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,939.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53061051928?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 5th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 53061051928 considered part of Larch Way?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061051928 fall within Larch Way (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061051928?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 53061051928 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.75% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53061051928 compare to Alderwood Manor overall?
Tract 53061051928 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Alderwood Manor at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alderwood Manor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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