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Neighborhood · Alderwood Manor, WA

Larch Way Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 24,409 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 4.8–6.7

Larch Way is a 4-tract neighborhood of Alderwood Manor, WA and houses 24,409 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Alderwood Manor rate of 35.1%.

Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 4.8 to 6.7. A 1.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. At $2,296 a month, rents sit 20% over what the rest of Alderwood Manor commands. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10.

Court records carry 318 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 9.8% of renter households.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. The most recent observed rate, 4.1% in 2017, is well off that peak.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $119,272. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Larch Way vs Alderwood Manor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.4% +29%
Alderwood Manor: 35.1%
Average gross rent
$2,296 +20%
Alderwood Manor: $1,919
Average HH income
$119,272 +1%
Alderwood Manor: $118,077
Poverty rate
7.2% +32%
Alderwood Manor: 5.5%
Renter share
36.0% +19%
Alderwood Manor: 30.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Larch Way and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.8–6.7

Why Larch Way scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 5.1–8.3 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–6.2 across tracts
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 5.6–9.0 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.8–7.4 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.6 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–4.8 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Larch Way vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Larch Way score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Larch WayNeighborhood5.4Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Larch Way?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 4.8 to 6.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Larch Way

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53061051802 6.7 6,932 47% $2,168
53061051928 5.4 5,939 51% $1,898
53061051930 5 5,496 37% $2,530
53061051927 4.8 6,042 46% $2,620
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 46

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Larch Way

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 318Total filings (sum)
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.14%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Larch Way

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Larch Way?

Larch Way scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Larch Way compare to Alderwood Manor overall?

Larch Way scores 0.1 points higher than Alderwood Manor overall (5.4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,296 vs $1,919.
Q3

What is the average rent in Larch Way?

Average gross rent in Larch Way is $2,296/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Larch Way residents are renters?

36% of Larch Way households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Alderwood Manor). The neighborhood has 24,409 residents.
Q5

Is Larch Way a high social-vulnerability area?

Larch Way sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Larch Way have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Larch Way is census tract 53061051802 (score 6.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 6.7, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Larch Way for landlords?

Larch Way carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alderwood Manor as a whole (5.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Larch Way?

Larch Way has 24,129 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (27.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Larch Way

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