Neighborhood · Alderwood Manor, WA

Larch Way Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 24,409 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 2.6–5

Larch Way is a white-asian neighborhood in Alderwood Manor with 4 census tracts and a population of 24,409 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,296/month sits 20% higher than the Alderwood Manor citywide average ($1,919).

Risk score

3.4

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Larch Way vs Alderwood Manor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.4% +29%

Alderwood Manor: 35.1%

Average gross rent

$2,296 +20%

Alderwood Manor: $1,919

Average HH income

$119,272 +1%

Alderwood Manor: $118,077

Poverty rate

7.2% +32%

Alderwood Manor: 5.5%

Renter share

36.0% +19%

Alderwood Manor: 30.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Larch Way and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 2.6–5

Why Larch Way scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 5.1–8.3 across tracts

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–6.2 across tracts

5.9

Tenant organizing strength

36% renter households · Range 5.6–9.0 across tracts

7.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.8–7.4 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.6 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–4.8 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Larch Way vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Larch Way?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.4 points from 2.6 to 5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.0 3.0 2.6 2.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Larch Way

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
53061051802	5	6,932	47%	$2,168
53061051927	3	6,042	46%	$2,620
53061051928	2.6	5,939	51%	$1,898
53061051930	2.6	5,496	37%	$2,530

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 46

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 63%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Larch Way

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

318Total filings (sum)
3.64%Avg annual filing rate
9.8%Peak year (2016)
4.14%Latest filed (2017)

Frequently asked

About Larch Way

What is the eviction-risk score for Larch Way?

Larch Way scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Larch Way compare to Alderwood Manor overall?

Larch Way scores 3.5 points lower than Alderwood Manor overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,296 vs $1,919.

What is the average rent in Larch Way?

Average gross rent in Larch Way is $2,296/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Larch Way residents are renters?

36% of Larch Way households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Alderwood Manor). The neighborhood has 24,409 residents.

Is Larch Way a high social-vulnerability area?

Larch Way sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Larch Way have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Larch Way is census tract 53061051802 (score 5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.6 to 5, a spread of 2.4 points.

How safe is Larch Way for landlords?

Larch Way carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alderwood Manor as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Larch Way?

Larch Way has 24,129 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (27.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Larch Way

4.8 Cedar Valley 6 tracts · pop 29,532 3.3 Martha Lake 2 tracts · pop 13,096 3.3 North Lynnwood 3 tracts · pop 19,849 5.2 Lake Stickney 4 tracts · pop 20,164 3.3 Meadowdale 3 tracts · pop 11,624 1.8 Aspen 2 tracts · pop 9,740

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