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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellingham

Tract 53073000803 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 7,182 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Forest Ridge neighborhood of Bellingham centers on tract 53073000803, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 7,182 residents. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,387 a month while the average household earns $96,426 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 12% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units3,197
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$96,426

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 23 tracts In Bellingham
Very Low
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 54 tracts In Whatcom County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#411 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellingham and the region

Centroid at 48.7710, -122.4330 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Ridge scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellingham
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,387 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellingham
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellingham
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellingham
8.1

How Forest Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 000803Bellingham: 7.17.1Bellinghamparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 34Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530730008032015: 11 filings (1.35/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2018: 9 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 34 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 1.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.3% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53073000803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073000803?

Census tract 53073000803 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53073000803?

Median gross rent is $1,387/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53073000803?

7.4% of residents in tract 53073000803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,182.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53073000803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 23th, minority 25th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 53073000803 considered part of Forest Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073000803 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53073000803?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53073000803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.15% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53073000803 compare to Bellingham overall?

Tract 53073000803 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bellingham at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellingham

Top eight tracts in Bellingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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