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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

First Settlement Eviction Risk: Elevated , Madison

Tract 55025001706 · Dane County, WI · pop 3,271 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 6/10, tract 55025001706 in the First Settlement area of Madison, WI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 47% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units2,084
Renter share81.5%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate28.4%
Median income$58,136

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In First Settlement
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 72 tracts In Madison
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 125 tracts In Dane County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 1,528 tracts In Wisconsin
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Madison and the region

Centroid at 43.0757, -89.3821 · click any tract to drill in

Why First Settlement scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Madison
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
28.4% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Madison
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Madison
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Madison
5.5

How First Settlement compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
First Settlement risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0017064.6Madisonparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in First Settlement

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Dane County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.6/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.9/10. At $1,269 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Madison commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.

Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $58,136.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 55025001706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55025001706?

Census tract 55025001706 in the First Settlement neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 55025001706?

Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 55025001706?

28.4% of residents in tract 55025001706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,271.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 55025001706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 1th, minority 26th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 55025001706 considered part of First Settlement?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55025001706 fall within First Settlement (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 55025001706 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 55025001706 compare to Madison overall?

Tract 55025001706 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Madison at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Madison eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 55025001706 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Madison

Top eight tracts in Madison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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