1 census tracts · pop 3,271 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10
· range 6–6
First Settlement maps to a single census tract in Madison, WI, population 3,271. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, Elevated tier. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Madison rate of 30.1%.
82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 7.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,269, 10% below the Madison average of $1,413. That places it #1 of 61 neighborhoods in Madison. For a like-for-like read, Mendota Hills and Hiestand score within a fraction of it.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $58,136.
One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
First Settlement vs MadisonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority26%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in First Settlement
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.2%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
7.6%No health insurance
25.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About First Settlement
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for First Settlement?
First Settlement scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does First Settlement compare to Madison overall?
First Settlement scores 1.4 points higher than Madison overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,269 vs $1,413.
Q3
What is the average rent in First Settlement?
Average gross rent in First Settlement is $1,269/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of First Settlement residents are renters?
82% of First Settlement households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Madison). The neighborhood has 3,271 residents.
Q5
Is First Settlement a high social-vulnerability area?
First Settlement sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is First Settlement for landlords?
First Settlement carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Madison as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of First Settlement?
First Settlement has 3,218 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.7%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
