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Neighborhood · Nashville, TN

Madison Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 13,962 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.1–5.2

Madison spans 4 census tracts of Nashville, TN and houses 13,962 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. 39% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Nashville rate of 31.8%. Set annual rent against average household income of $53,518 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.

Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 4.1 to 5.2. A 1.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,447, 9% below the Nashville average of $1,586.

That places it #10 of 40 neighborhoods in Nashville. For a like-for-like read, The Gulch and The Vistas score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Madison vs Nashville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.2% +96%
Nashville: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$1,447 -9%
Nashville: $1,586
Average HH income
$53,518 -33%
Nashville: $79,640
Poverty rate
18.1% +27%
Nashville: 14.3%
Renter share
57.1% +20%
Nashville: 47.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Madison and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.1–5.2

Why Madison scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Economic stress
18.1% below poverty line · Range 3.4–7.3 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–6.1 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Madison vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Madison score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6MadisonNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Madison?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 4.1 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Madison

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
47037010702 5.2 3,476 59% $1,166
47037010802 4.7 3,720 79% $2,033
47037010701 4.4 4,253 55% $1,246
47037010404 4.1 2,513 54% $1,309
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Madison

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,284Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.7Avg monthly observed
  • 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.97×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville, TN).

Frequently asked

About Madison

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Madison?

Madison scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Madison compare to Nashville overall?

Madison scores 0.8 points higher than Nashville overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,447 vs $1,586.
Q3

What is the average rent in Madison?

Average gross rent in Madison is $1,447/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Madison residents are renters?

57% of Madison households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Nashville). The neighborhood has 13,962 residents.
Q5

Is Madison a high social-vulnerability area?

Madison sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Madison have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Madison is census tract 47037010702 (score 5.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5.2, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Madison for landlords?

Madison carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Nashville as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Madison?

Madison has 14,034 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.3%), Hispanic / Latino (31.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Madison

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Nashville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Madison.

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