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Neighborhood · Nashville, TN

Monticello Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 13,806 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3–4.7

Monticello is a 3-tract neighborhood of Nashville, TN and houses 13,806 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Nashville baseline of 31.8%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.7. A 1.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,407, 11% below the Nashville average of $1,586. That places it #20 of 40 neighborhoods in Nashville.

The closest comparables inside the same city are East Nashville and The Overton. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $79,231. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Monticello vs Nashville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.0% +29%
Nashville: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$1,407 -11%
Nashville: $1,586
Average HH income
$79,231 -1%
Nashville: $79,640
Poverty rate
13.4% -6%
Nashville: 14.3%
Renter share
37.5% -21%
Nashville: 47.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Monticello and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–4.7

Why Monticello scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Economic stress
13.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–4.9 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Monticello vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Monticello score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.1MonticelloNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Monticello?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 3 to 4.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Monticello

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
47037015623 4.7 5,671 41% $1,161
47037015405 4.3 4,604 57% $1,397
47037015622 3 3,531 21% $1,815
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Monticello

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,818Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.9Avg monthly observed
  • 5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.50×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville, TN).

Frequently asked

About Monticello

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Monticello?

Monticello scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Monticello compare to Nashville overall?

Monticello scores 0.3 points higher than Nashville overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,407 vs $1,586.
Q3

What is the average rent in Monticello?

Average gross rent in Monticello is $1,407/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Monticello residents are renters?

38% of Monticello households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Nashville). The neighborhood has 13,806 residents.
Q5

Is Monticello a high social-vulnerability area?

Monticello sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Monticello have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Monticello is census tract 47037015623 (score 4.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.7, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Monticello for landlords?

Monticello carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Nashville as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Monticello?

Monticello has 13,681 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.2%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Monticello

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Nashville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Monticello.

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