Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Monticello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville
Tract 47037015405 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,604 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
47037015405 is a census tract in the Monticello area of Nashville, TN. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,604. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,835
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$72,119
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.2059, -86.5922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Monticello scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How Monticello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 364Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.26×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Monticello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Monticello
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Davidson County average of 46.0%. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. At $1,397 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Nashville commands. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Davidson County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $72,119.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037015405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037015405?
Census tract 47037015405 in the Monticello neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037015405?
Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037015405?
16.6% of residents in tract 47037015405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,604.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037015405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 78th, minority 59th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 47037015405 considered part of Monticello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037015405 fall within Monticello (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037015405 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037015405 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037015405 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
McMurray Circle
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037015806
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
McMurray Circle
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037015900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Little Kurdistan
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Downtown Nashville
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Leisure Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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