Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Monticello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville
Tract 47037015405 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,604 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Eviction risk in Monticello in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) centers on tract 47037015405, which scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,604 residents. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,397 monthly, set against $72,119 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,835
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$72,119
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.2059, -86.5922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Monticello scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How Monticello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 364Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.26×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Monticello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Monticello
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.26x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037015405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037015405?
Census tract 47037015405 in the Monticello neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037015405?
Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037015405?
16.6% of residents in tract 47037015405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,604.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037015405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 78th, minority 59th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 47037015405 considered part of Monticello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037015405 fall within Monticello (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037015405 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037015405 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037015405 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47037010403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Downtown Nashville
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037015900
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Germantown Nashville, TN
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012801
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Madison
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012701
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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