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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Nashville

Tract 47037019115 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,495 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

47037019115 is a census tract in the Shadow Creek area of Nashville, TN. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,495 residents. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Davidson County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,415
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$128,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shadow Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#138 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#125 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,176 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.0133, -86.7176 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Creek scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Shadow Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0191153.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 39Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Creek

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against the Davidson County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037019115

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019115?

Census tract 47037019115 in the Shadow Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019115?

3.2% of residents in tract 47037019115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,495.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 8th, minority 41th, housing 5th.
Q4

Is tract 47037019115 considered part of Shadow Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019115 fall within Shadow Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47037019115 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47037019115 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037019115 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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