Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
The Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville
Tract 47037019501 · Davidson County, TN · pop 2,540 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The The Gulch area of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) is where census tract 47037019501 sits, home to 2,540 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,203 monthly, set against $70,291 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 89% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,496
Renter share88.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$70,291
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1531, -86.7949 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Gulch scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$2,203 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How The Gulch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 504Total filings 2020-21
- 6.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Gulch
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037019501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019501?
Census tract 47037019501 in the The Gulch neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037019501?
Median gross rent is $2,203/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019501?
21.8% of residents in tract 47037019501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,540.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 1th, minority 39th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 47037019501 considered part of The Gulch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019501 fall within The Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037019501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037019501 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037019501 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47037019501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47037010403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Downtown Nashville
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037015900
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Germantown Nashville, TN
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012801
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Madison
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012701
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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