Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Disability prevalence runs 54.0% against 31.5% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 33.4% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $36,154, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3.1/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.