Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $38,022, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.4% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,108, close to the Memphis average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.