Skip to content
Neighborhood · Johnson City, TN

Melrose Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,114 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6.1–6.1

Melrose is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Johnson City with 1 census tract and a population of 3,114 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $902/month sits 12% lower than the Johnson City citywide average ($1,023).

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Melrose vs Johnson City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.0% +78%
Johnson City: 29.8%
Average gross rent
$902 -12%
Johnson City: $1,023
Average HH income
$35,516 -43%
Johnson City: $62,113
Poverty rate
38.7% +131%
Johnson City: 16.7%
Renter share
79.0% +62%
Johnson City: 48.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Melrose and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.1–6.1

Why Melrose scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
79% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
38.7% below poverty line · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Melrose vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Melrose score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Melrose: 6.16.1MelroseNeighborhoodParent city: 2.32.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Melrose

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
47179060901 6.1 3,114 53% $902
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Melrose

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Melrose?

Melrose scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Melrose compare to Johnson City overall?

Melrose scores 3.8 points higher than Johnson City overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $902 vs $1,023.
Q3

What is the average rent in Melrose?

Average gross rent in Melrose is $902/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Melrose residents are renters?

79% of Melrose households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Johnson City). The neighborhood has 3,114 residents.
Q5

Is Melrose a high social-vulnerability area?

Melrose sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Melrose for landlords?

Melrose carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnson City as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Melrose?

Melrose has 2,943 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75%), Hispanic / Latino (13.6%), Other / Multiracial (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Melrose

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnson City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Melrose.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further