1 census tracts · pop 3,114 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.8–4.8
Melrose maps to a single census tract in Johnson City, TN, population 3,114. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 53% against 29.8% citywide, putting Melrose 23.2% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 38%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.7/10.
The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. This is a renter market: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. Average gross rent is $902, 12% below the Johnson City average of $1,023.
That places it #1 of 15 neighborhoods in Johnson City. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $35,516.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Melrose vs Johnson CityHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Melrose
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Melrose?
Melrose scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Melrose compare to Johnson City overall?
Melrose scores 1.4 points higher than Johnson City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $902 vs $1,023.
Q3
What is the average rent in Melrose?
Average gross rent in Melrose is $902/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Melrose residents are renters?
79% of Melrose households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Johnson City). The neighborhood has 3,114 residents.
Q5
Is Melrose a high social-vulnerability area?
Melrose sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Melrose for landlords?
Melrose carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnson City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Melrose?
Melrose has 2,943 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75%), Hispanic / Latino (13.6%), Other / Multiracial (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
