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Neighborhood · San Antonio, TX

Blue Star Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 10,812 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3–5.2

Blue Star is a 3-tract neighborhood of San Antonio, TX, population 10,812. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 5.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Against a San Antonio baseline of 32.0%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $1,561 a month, rents sit 18% over what the rest of San Antonio commands. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filings are well documented here: 560 across 3 observed tracts.

Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 3/10.

The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 8.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.7% in 2008, is well off that peak.

Among the 88 mapped neighborhoods of San Antonio, it ranks #30 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Beacon Hill and Denver Heights. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $70,750. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Blue Star vs San Antonio How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +27%
San Antonio: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,561 +18%
San Antonio: $1,324
Average HH income
$70,750 +12%
San Antonio: $62,917
Poverty rate
18.0% +5%
San Antonio: 17.1%
Renter share
50.0% +5%
San Antonio: 47.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blue Star and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–5.2

Why Blue Star scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
18.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.0 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–6.9 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Blue Star vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Blue Star score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Blue StarNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Blue Star?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.2 points from 3 to 5.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Blue Star

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48029150300 5.2 3,409 50% $1,297
48029150100 4.6 5,141 33% $1,634
48029192100 3 2,262 44% $1,791
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blue Star

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 560Total filings (sum)
  • 3.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak year (2007)
  • 2.77%Latest filed (2008)
Frequently asked

About Blue Star

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Blue Star?

Blue Star scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Blue Star compare to San Antonio overall?

Blue Star scores 0.7 points higher than San Antonio overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,561 vs $1,324.
Q3

What is the average rent in Blue Star?

Average gross rent in Blue Star is $1,561/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Blue Star residents are renters?

50% of Blue Star households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 10,812 residents.
Q5

Is Blue Star a high social-vulnerability area?

Blue Star sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Blue Star have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Blue Star is census tract 48029150300 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.2, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Blue Star for landlords?

Blue Star carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Blue Star?

Blue Star has 10,723 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (73.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blue Star

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Antonio

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blue Star.

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