Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Churchill Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

Tract 48029191409 · Bexar, TX · pop 7,284 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Churchill Heights area of San Antonio is where census tract 48029191409 sits, home to 7,284 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 41% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,177 a month while the average household earns $51,111 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 38% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units3,480
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$51,111

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Churchill Heights
Very High
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#172 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#176 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Moderate
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#2,641 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5431, -98.5209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Churchill Heights scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,177 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Churchill Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Churchill Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 191409San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,032Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 5.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2008)
  • 169Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291914092000: 78 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2001: 131 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 104 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)2003: 85 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2004: 87 filings (4.08/100 renter HHs)2005: 113 filings (4.62/100 renter HHs)2006: 122 filings (4.99/100 renter HHs)2007: 143 filings (5.85/100 renter HHs)2008: 169 filings (6.91/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Churchill Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Churchill Heights

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bexar County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,032 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029191409

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029191409?

Census tract 48029191409 in the Churchill Heights neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029191409?

Median gross rent is $1,177/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029191409?

10.3% of residents in tract 48029191409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029191409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 83th, minority 84th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 48029191409 considered part of Churchill Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029191409 fall within Churchill Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029191409?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,032 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029191409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.01% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029191409 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029191409 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related