Dallas Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Against Dallas County at 47.9%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.3 points above the Dallas County average of 3.8. At $1,209 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Dallas commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dallas. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $54,505.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.