Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Dallas Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021411 · Denton, TX · pop 7,020 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Lake Dallas
Tract 48121021411 sits in Lake Dallas eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. Population here is 7,020. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,618
Renter share34.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$73,385
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Dallas and the region
Centroid at 33.1103, -97.0055 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Dallas scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Dallas
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,496 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Dallas
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Dallas
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Dallas
5.2
How Lake Dallas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 566Total filings 2020-21
- 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Dallas
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Denton County average of 45.5%. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,496, close to the Lake Dallas average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $73,385. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021411?
Census tract 48121021411 in Lake Dallas scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021411?
Median gross rent is $1,496/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021411?
1.9% of residents in tract 48121021411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,020.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 83th, minority 64th, housing 78th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021411 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021411 compare to Lake Dallas overall?
Tract 48121021411 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Dallas at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Dallas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Dallas
Top eight tracts in Lake Dallas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related