Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Flower Mound Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021725 · Denton, TX · pop 4,061
With a score of 3/10, tract 48121021725 in Flower Mound, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,061 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$138,473
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flower Mound and the region
Centroid at 33.0265, -97.0660 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flower Mound scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,667 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.1
How Flower Mound compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 12 yrs
- 5.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.4%Peak (2002)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 20Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flower Mound
78% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Denton County average of 45.5%. The voucher gap is 41.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.2/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,667, 20% above the Flower Mound average.
The filing record is not thin: 35 evictions over 12 years of observation. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 15.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021725
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021725?
Census tract 48121021725 in Flower Mound scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021725?
Median gross rent is $2,667/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021725?
1.4% of residents in tract 48121021725 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,061.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021725?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 9th, minority 42th, housing 2th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021725?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48121021725 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.00% of renter households, peaking at 15.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021725 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021725 compare to Flower Mound overall?
Tract 48121021725 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Flower Mound at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flower Mound eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flower Mound
Top eight tracts in Flower Mound ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121021729
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021759
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021750
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021751
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021752
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021756
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021757
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Highland Forest Addition
3
/ 10 · Low
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