Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Groveland Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201212400 · Harris, TX · pop 3,198 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 48201212400 covers part of the Groveland Terrace area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Adults with no health insurance runs 45.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units937
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$40,516
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7863, -95.2851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Groveland Terrace scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$941 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Groveland Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 97Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2014)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 15% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 120Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Groveland Terrace
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.9/10.
Average gross rent is $941, 31% below the Houston average. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Disability prevalence runs 47.2% against 31.5% nationally. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 97 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 7.4% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201212400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201212400?
Census tract 48201212400 in the Groveland Terrace neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201212400?
Median gross rent is $941/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201212400?
35.5% of residents in tract 48201212400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,198.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201212400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 82th, minority 99th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 48201212400 considered part of Groveland Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201212400 fall within Groveland Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201212400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 97 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201212400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.66% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201212400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201212400 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201212400 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201212400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Winchester
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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48201221400
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mayfair
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Cole Creek Manor
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Old Sixth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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