Within neighborhood
90
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201423303 · Harris, TX · pop 1,330 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201423303 in the Brays Oaks area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,330. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 57%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units624
Renter share89.3%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$49,329
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6601, -95.5109 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,043 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 240Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Against Harris County at 49.5%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,043 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Houston commands.
Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423303?
Census tract 48201423303 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201423303?
Median gross rent is $1,043/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423303?
25.4% of residents in tract 48201423303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,330.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 13th, minority 92th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 48201423303 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423303 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201423303 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423303 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Lamar Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Huntington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Shadydale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hamlin's Woodland
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fifth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Houmont Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Independence Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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