Within neighborhood
30
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #70,218 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201440102 · Harris, TX · pop 4,683 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 48201440102, home to 4,683 residents in Brays Oaks in Houston, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,876 a month while the average household earns $69,420 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,954
Renter share25.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$69,420
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6400, -95.5394 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,876 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 483Total filings 2020-21
- 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 7.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 7.67x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201440102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201440102?
Census tract 48201440102 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201440102?
Median gross rent is $1,876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201440102?
13.0% of residents in tract 48201440102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,683.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201440102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 38th, minority 88th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 48201440102 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201440102 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201440102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 7.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201440102 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201440102 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
East Houston
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Hamlin's Woodland
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Braeburn
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Related