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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Greens Bayou Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,414 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.1–4.7

Greens Bayou takes in 2 census tracts of Houston, TX and houses 11,414 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.3/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Houston baseline of 32.1%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 380 across 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 7.1% of renter households.

At $1,240 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Houston commands. Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #108 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 3.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Hidden Valley and Manchester score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.6 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $62,108.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Greens Bayou vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.2% +44%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,240 -9%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$62,108 -1%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
16.7% -15%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
28.3% -51%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greens Bayou and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.1–4.7

Why Greens Bayou scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 3.5–5.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Greens Bayou vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Greens Bayou score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.3Greens BayouNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Greens Bayou

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201233300 4.7 4,750 39% $901
48201233200 4.1 6,664 51% $1,482
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Greens Bayou

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 380Total filings (sum)
  • 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 6.49%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 245Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Greens Bayou

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Greens Bayou?

Greens Bayou scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Greens Bayou compare to Houston overall?

Greens Bayou scores 0.6 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,240 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Greens Bayou?

Average gross rent in Greens Bayou is $1,240/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Greens Bayou residents are renters?

28% of Greens Bayou households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 11,414 residents.
Q5

Is Greens Bayou a high social-vulnerability area?

Greens Bayou sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Greens Bayou have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Greens Bayou is census tract 48201233300 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 4.7, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Greens Bayou for landlords?

Greens Bayou carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Greens Bayou?

Greens Bayou has 10,793 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (90%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.1%), Other / Multiracial (0.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greens Bayou

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greens Bayou.

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