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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Southgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201413205 · Harris, TX · pop 1,566 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 48201413205 sits in the Southgate area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 1,566. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 36% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units902
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$63,046

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Southgate
High
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#453 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#517 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,721 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7032, -95.4206 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southgate scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,393 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Southgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 4132053.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 58Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.87×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southgate

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Harris County average of 49.5%. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,393, close to the Houston average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $63,046.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201413205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201413205?

Census tract 48201413205 in the Southgate neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201413205?

Median gross rent is $1,393/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201413205?

14.5% of residents in tract 48201413205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,566.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201413205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 10th, minority 61th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 48201413205 considered part of Southgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201413205 fall within Southgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201413205 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201413205 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201413205 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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