Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201330302 · Harris, TX · pop 5,001 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 48201330302 runs through the Winchester neighborhood of Houston. With 5,001 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,733 a month against an average household income of $58,808 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,554
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$58,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6155, -95.4760 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,733 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2011)
- 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 74% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 173Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.69x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 286 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 10.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.9% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201330302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201330302?
Census tract 48201330302 in the Winchester neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201330302?
Median gross rent is $1,733/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201330302?
19.5% of residents in tract 48201330302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,001.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201330302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 48201330302 considered part of Winchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201330302 fall within Winchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201330302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201330302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.14% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201330302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201330302 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201330302 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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