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Census Tract · Ranked #45,599 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48201241202 · Harris, TX · pop 4,772 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Spring

For landlords sizing up Spring in Harris County, census tract 48201241202 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,894 a month while the average household earns $75,765 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 17% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,910
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$75,765

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 11 tracts In Spring
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileBottomTop
#15 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileBottomTop
#142 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileBottomTop
#45,599 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Spring and the region

Centroid at 30.0507, -95.3998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Spring
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,894 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spring
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spring
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spring
4.6

How Spring compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spring risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 241202Spring: 3.63.6Springparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 278Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-12-01: 7 filings (2.55× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (1.12× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-11-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-08-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-08-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-12-01: 8 filings (2.91× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Spring, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.17x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201241202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201241202?

Census tract 48201241202 in Spring scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201241202?

Median gross rent is $1,894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201241202?

14.0% of residents in tract 48201241202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,772.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201241202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 86th, minority 83th, housing 37th.

Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48201241202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q6

How does tract 48201241202 compare to Spring overall?

Tract 48201241202 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Spring at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spring; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Spring

Top eight tracts in Spring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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