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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Fairlawn Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos

Tract 48209010305 · Hays, TX · pop 5,420 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 48209010305 sits in the Fairlawn area of San Marcos eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Population here is 5,420. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 42% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units2,634
Renter share95.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate41.2%
Median income$50,675

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fairlawn
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 16 tracts In San Marcos
Very High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 46 tracts In Hays
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8908, -97.8936 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairlawn scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,329 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9

How Fairlawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairlawn risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0103055.9San Marcosparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fairlawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairlawn

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10. It sits 2.6 points above the Hays County average of 4.7.

This is renter territory: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 50.2% across Hays County. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.8% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,329, close to the San Marcos average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010305?

Census tract 48209010305 in the Fairlawn neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48209010305?

Median gross rent is $1,329/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010305?

41.2% of residents in tract 48209010305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,420.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 7th, minority 71th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 48209010305 considered part of Fairlawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48209010305 fall within Fairlawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48209010305 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010305 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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