Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Fairlawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Marcos

Tract 48209010305 · Hays, TX · pop 5,420 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In Fairlawn in San Marcos, census tract 48209010305 scores 6.6/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #10,184 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,329 monthly, set against $50,675 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 95% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 42% Owners 5%

Tract context

Occupied units2,634

Renter share95.2%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate41.2%

Median income$50,675

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8908, -97.8936 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairlawn scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Marcos

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

41.2% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,329 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Marcos

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

How Fairlawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fairlawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairlawn

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hays County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010305?

Census tract 48209010305 in the Fairlawn neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48209010305?

Median gross rent is $1,329/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010305?

41.2% of residents in tract 48209010305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,420.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 7th, minority 71th, housing 90th.

Is tract 48209010305 considered part of Fairlawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48209010305 fall within Fairlawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48209010305 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010305 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.