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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

East Guadalupe Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos

Tract 48209010200 · Hays, TX · pop 5,988 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 48209010200 covers part of the East Guadalupe area of San Marcos, TX, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 20% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units686
Renter share77.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate32.8%
Median income$40,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In East Guadalupe
Very Low
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In San Marcos
Moderate
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 46 tracts In Hays
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8902, -97.9458 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Guadalupe scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.8% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,276 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9

How East Guadalupe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Guadalupe risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0102005.9San Marcosparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Guadalupe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Guadalupe

Against Hays County at 50.2%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Against the Hays County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $40,962, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010200?

Census tract 48209010200 in the East Guadalupe neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48209010200?

Median gross rent is $1,276/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010200?

32.8% of residents in tract 48209010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,988.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 3th, minority 70th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 48209010200 considered part of East Guadalupe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48209010200 fall within East Guadalupe (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48209010200 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010200 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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