Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

East Guadalupe Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos

Tract 48209010200 · Hays, TX · pop 5,988 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The East Guadalupe neighborhood of San Marcos anchors census tract 48209010200, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,276 monthly, set against $40,962 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 20% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units686

Renter share77.8%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate32.8%

Median income$40,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8902, -97.9458 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Guadalupe scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Marcos

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

32.8% poverty · this tract

8.2

Supply constraint

$1,276 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Marcos

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

How East Guadalupe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Guadalupe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Guadalupe

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hays County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010200?

Census tract 48209010200 in the East Guadalupe neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48209010200?

Median gross rent is $1,276/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010200?

32.8% of residents in tract 48209010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,988.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 3th, minority 70th, housing 98th.

Is tract 48209010200 considered part of East Guadalupe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48209010200 fall within East Guadalupe (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48209010200 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010200 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.